Feueralarm

Zusatz zu der bereits analysierten Krise bei den T-Bonds.

Zitat:
....Damit aber gelangt Saturn,  mit einem Umlauf von 29,4 Jahren an seinen alten Ausgangsort bei 21°35´ im Löwen zurück. Exakt wird dies am 24.06.2007.

Am 18 Jun, 2007 schrieb Alf Field folgendes:

......This is why it is vitally important to watch events in the long term 10 Year US Government Bond market because that is where the initial scenes of this drama will be played out. Last week a fire alarm signal sounded in the 10 Year US Government Bonds, as can be seen in the following monthly chart of these bonds.

This chart goes back to 1983 and shows that the steeper 23 year down trendline was broken in 2006. Since then the bond yields have traded under a less steep trendline that goes back to early 1995. Note that bonds trade inversely to the yields. A declining trend in yields, such as that displayed above, indicates a bull market in bonds - bonds appreciated in value during that period. When interest rates are in a rising trend, bonds depreciate in value.

Chart von 1983 - 2007

The fact that bond yields have now broken above both these two trendlines suggests that US Government bonds are in a bear market.

This is the fire alarm signal that sounded last week. It would require a yield over 5.50% to absolutely confirm the start of the bear market in bonds.

The recent action appears in far more dramatic fashion in the daily chart of 10 Yr US Government Bonds, as depicted in the following chart:

The US bond bear market scenario is replicated in bond markets around the world. It seems that the bond bear market is a world wide phenomenon. Rising interest rates imply Stagflation ahead with pressures emerging in multiple areas that will require Ben Bernanke's electronic money producing helicopter gun ships to come to the rescue. The surge of "store of value" investment into gold and other tangible investments should gather a strong head of steam.

http://www.321gold.com/editorials/field/field061807.html

Spica dazu:
Ist das der Grund, warum verschiedene Zentralbanken in den letzten 12 Wochen insgesamt 240 Tonnen Gold auf den Markt warfen? Es entspräche einer Art Ausverkauf, oder wie hartgeld.com meint: Dem "endgame" Nun eins ist astrologisch gewiss. Der Bondmarkt ist mit dem 24.06.2007 in einen Bärenmarkt angelangt, der  höhere Zinsen als Heute notwendig erscheinen läßt. Warum also nicht auf steigende Zinsen setzen?

Hinzu kommt. In diesem Jahr treten wir in die zweite Phase des Goldbullenmarktes.  Siehe dazu: Die Abrechnung.